The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its economic outlook for Mexico, projecting growth in the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) of 1.5% in 2026, with an increase to 1.8% in 2027. This forecast is driven by sustained export growth and stabilizing investment, although challenges related to trade uncertainties may curb economic activity.
Mexico’s economic prospects are bolstered by its expanding exports of computers and electronic components. This growth is partly fueled by robust demand from the United States for data center infrastructure and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies. The country’s strong manufacturing base and established supply chains in North America have solidified its role as a key supplier of technology products.
While the IMF acknowledges stable macroeconomic conditions in Mexico, it also highlights potential risks stemming from uncertainties about the renewal of the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA). Such uncertainties could have implications for future economic growth.
Inflation in Mexico is expected to reach 3.8% by the end of 2026, which is slightly above the Bank of Mexico’s target of 3%. Despite these inflationary pressures, the IMF remains optimistic that external demand will continue to support the Mexican economy.